We said: Ceara 1-1 Corinthians
Corinthians seem to get overwhelmed when playing on the road, lacking that quality in the final third, but they do not allow a lot of good scoring opportunities which is also the case for Ceara, so we expect to see a pragmatic approach from both teams.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 49.81%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 23.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.