There is little to separate these two teams at present, although Fortaleza will be regarded as slight favourites to come out on top on home soil.
Cuiaba will fancy their chances of grinding out a positive result on their travels, but we believe that Fortaleza will prevail to boost their top-four hopes.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 61.76%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 14.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.11%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
-0.11) 
0.06) 
