Given that Fortaleza and Athletico Paranaense are locked on 20 points, we expect Sunday's clash to be a tense and cagey affair, with a low-scoring draw looking like the most probable result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 62.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 15.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.52%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortaleza in this match.

Result
Fortaleza	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
62.26% ( -0.03)	22.47% ( -0)	15.27% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 44.49% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.28% (

0.07)

52.72% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.64% (

0.06)

74.35% (

-0.06)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.54% (

0.01)

16.45% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.86% (

0.02)

46.14% (

-0.02)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.25% (

0.09)

46.74% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.71% (

0.07)

82.29% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Fortaleza 62.24%

Athletico Paranaense 15.27%

Draw 22.46%

Fortaleza	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 13.87% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 12.52% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.73% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.4% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.59% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.23% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.76% Total : 62.24%	1-1 @ 10.55% 0-0 @ 7.69% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.6% Total : 22.46%	0-1 @ 5.85% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.02% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.25% Total : 15.27%