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Brasileiro | Gameweek 13
Jul 1, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
F

Flamengo
2 - 0
Fortaleza

Barbosa (14'), De Arrascaeta (64')
Pulgar (44'), Henrique (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Flamengo 4-0 Aucas
Thursday, June 29 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Palestino 1-2 Fortaleza
Tuesday, June 27 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

We said: Flamengo 3-1 Fortaleza

Fortaleza will travel with confidence on the back of their consecutive league wins, but the hosts do boast more quality in their ranks, and we see Sampaoli's men being too strong on home turf, particularly in attack, and taking all three points as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 67.67%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 12.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.13%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Flamengo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Flamengo.

Result
FlamengoDrawFortaleza
67.67% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03) 19.98% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 12.35% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 44.38% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.31% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)48.69% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.2% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)70.8% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.59% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)13.41% (0.016 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.65% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)40.35% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)48.75% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.22% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)83.77% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 67.66%
    Fortaleza 12.35%
    Draw 19.98%
FlamengoDrawFortaleza
2-0 @ 13.19%
1-0 @ 13.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.48%
3-0 @ 8.84% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.35% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-0 @ 4.44% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 3.19% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.78% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.28% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 67.66%
1-1 @ 9.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.54% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.41%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 19.98%
0-1 @ 4.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.39% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-2 @ 1.69% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 12.35%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Flamengo 4-0 Aucas
Thursday, June 29 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Santos 2-3 Flamengo
Sunday, June 25 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 4-0 Flamengo
Friday, June 23 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 3-0 Gremio
Sunday, June 11 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Racing
Friday, June 9 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Vasco 1-4 Flamengo
Tuesday, June 6 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palestino 1-2 Fortaleza
Tuesday, June 27 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Fortaleza 2-1 Atletico Mineiro
Saturday, June 24 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cruzeiro 0-1 Fortaleza
Wednesday, June 21 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 2-0 Fortaleza
Sunday, June 11 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Estudiantes 1-0 Fortaleza
Tuesday, June 6 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Fortaleza 0-0 Bahia
Saturday, June 3 at 8pm in Brasileiro


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