Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 48.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 25.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.
-0.16) 
0.14) 
