Flamengo have averaged over two goals per game on the road this season, so should expect to score at least once at Nabizao. The Rio-based heavyweights are certainly approaching peak condition, so absence-hit Bragantino could see their winless run roll on. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 35.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Bragantino	Draw	Flamengo
35.98% ( 0.9)	26.63% ( 0.5)	37.38% ( -1.41)

Both teams to score 52.1% (

-1.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.12% (

-2.03)

52.87% (

2.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.51% (

-1.76)

74.48% (

1.76)

Bragantino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.76% (

-0.44)

28.23% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.06% (

-0.55)

63.94% (

0.55)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.59% (

-1.74)

27.4% (

1.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.12% (

-2.31)

62.88% (

2.3)

Score Analysis

Bragantino 35.98%

Flamengo 37.38%

Draw 26.63%

Bragantino	Draw	Flamengo
1-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.65) 2-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.34) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.76% Total : 35.98%	1-1 @ 12.66% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.6) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.22) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.63%	0-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 8.2% ( -0.25) 0-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.29) 0-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.21) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.16) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.07% Total : 37.38%