Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 72.01%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Goias had a probability of 10.02%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.77%) and 3-0 (10%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.48%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
1.62) 
-0.64) 
