Scolari may have to make do with a point that secures second place for Mineiro, with Libertad expected to give their all in a score draw at the Estadio Tigo La Huerta.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Club Libertad had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Club Libertad win was 1-0 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
-0.28) 
0.4) 
