The perfect chance to end a drought could present itself to Atletico Mineiro this week - despite being without two key men. Just one win and six losses away from home sums up the struggles Corinthians have endured outside of Sao Paulo, and that trend should continue at Mineirao.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 66.33%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 11.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.63%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
-0.62) 
0.26) 
