Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 49.19%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 22.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
-0.01) 
0.07) 
