Gremio
4 - 0
Vasco

Souza (41', 53'), Pinares (55'), Silva (90+2' pen.)
Souza (58'), Silva (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Matos (62')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Vasco da Gama.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 61.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 15.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.85%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.

Result
Gremio	Draw	Vasco da Gama
61.1%	23.47%	15.42%

Both teams to score 42.1%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.85%

56.14%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.79%

77.21%

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.92%

18.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.99%

49%

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.39%

48.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.33%

83.67%

Score Analysis

Gremio 61.1%

Vasco da Gama 15.42%

Draw 23.47%

Gremio	Draw	Vasco da Gama
1-0 @ 15.03% 2-0 @ 12.85% 2-1 @ 9.27% 3-0 @ 7.33% 3-1 @ 5.29% 4-0 @ 3.13% 4-1 @ 2.26% 3-2 @ 1.91% 5-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.96% Total : 61.1%	1-1 @ 10.84% 0-0 @ 8.79% 2-2 @ 3.35% Other @ 0.5% Total : 23.47%	0-1 @ 6.34% 1-2 @ 3.91% 0-2 @ 2.29% 1-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.94% Total : 15.42%