Internacional can probably afford to take a few more chances in possession and push numbers forward against a Coritiba side who allow a lot through the middle and have struggled to maintain a solid defensive shape.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 63.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 15.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.01%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.
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