Coritiba have certainly impressed since their promotion and shown themselves to be a competitive outfit, but we see them falling just short against a strong Palmeiras side who look to have hit their stride.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 52.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 22.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.04%) and 1-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Coritiba win it was 1-0 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.