SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Sao Paulo | 10 | 4 | 15 |
| 6 | Coritiba | 10 | 2 | 15 |
| 7 | Internacional | 10 | 2 | 15 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Athletico Paranaense | 10 | -1 | 16 |
| 5 | Sao Paulo | 10 | 4 | 15 |
| 6 | Coritiba | 10 | 2 | 15 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 37.27%. A win for Coritiba had a probability of 34.74% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Coritiba win was 1-0 (10.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Coritiba | Draw | Sao Paulo |
34.74% ( -0.04) | 27.99% ( -0.03) | 37.27% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 47.77% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.74% ( 0.09) | 58.26% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.11% ( 0.07) | 78.89% ( -0.07) |
| Coritiba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.32% ( 0.01) | 31.68% ( -0.02) |
