Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 45.5%. A win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 27.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Internacional in this match.
-0) 
0.01) 
