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Brasileiro | Gameweek 20
Jul 28, 2024 at 12am UK
Arena Fonte Nova
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Bahia
1 - 1
Internacional

Duarte (13')
Gilberto (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Borre (89')
Bustos (61'), Rochet (66'), Mercado (81')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atletico GO 1-1 Bahia
Thursday, July 25 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 1-1 Rosario
Wednesday, July 24 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

We said: Bahia 1-0 Internacional

Bahia started their season pretty well but fell off in recent matches, especially on home soil, but they have shown more resilience in recent matches, which is why we are backing them to win against an Internacional side who have been woeful for long. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 46.65%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Internacional had a probability of 26.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Internacional win it was 0-1 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
BahiaDrawInternacional
46.65% (-0.314 -0.31) 27.12% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 26.22% (0.352 0.35)
Both teams to score 46.73% (0.369 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.12% (0.339 0.34)57.89% (-0.335 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.4% (0.268 0.27)78.6% (-0.26400000000001 -0.26)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.18% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)24.82% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.59%59.41% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Internacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.16% (0.494 0.49)37.85% (-0.489 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.38% (0.477 0.48)74.62% (-0.473 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Bahia 46.65%
    Internacional 26.22%
    Draw 27.12%
BahiaDrawInternacional
1-0 @ 13.09% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-0 @ 9.12% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 4.24% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.12% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 2% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.48% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 46.65%
1-1 @ 12.71%
0-0 @ 9.4% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.31% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.12%
0-1 @ 9.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.18% (0.085 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.43% (0.061 0.06)
1-3 @ 2% (0.053 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.44% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.39% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 26.22%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Atletico GO 1-1 Bahia
Thursday, July 25 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 0-1 Corinthians
Sunday, July 21 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 1-2 Cuiaba
Saturday, July 13 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-3 Bahia
Wednesday, July 10 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-0 Bahia
Sunday, July 7 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 2-0 Juventude
Thursday, July 4 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 1-1 Rosario
Wednesday, July 24 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Botafogo 1-0 Internacional
Saturday, July 20 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Rosario 1-0 Internacional
Wednesday, July 17 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Juventude 1-1 Internacional
Saturday, July 13 at 9.15pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Internacional 1-2 Juventude
Wednesday, July 10 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Internacional 1-2 Vasco
Sunday, July 7 at 10pm in Brasileiro


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