Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 39.29%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
Cruzeiro	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
39.29% ( -0.17)	27.14% ( 0.04)	33.56% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 50.16% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.82% (

-0.13)

55.18% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.58% (

-0.1)

76.42% (

0.1)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.59% (

-0.15)

27.41% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.11% (

-0.2)

62.88% (

0.19)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.1% (

0.02)

30.89% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.81% (

0.02)

67.18% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Cruzeiro 39.29%

Atletico Mineiro 33.56%

Draw 27.14%

Cruzeiro	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.99% Total : 39.29%	1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.14%	0-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.56% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 33.56%