Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 48.66%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Internacional had a probability of 23.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Internacional win it was 0-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
0.07) 
-0.04) 
