Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 60.76%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 17.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
