SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Goias | 10 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 | Flamengo | 10 | 0 | 12 |
| 15 | Botafogo | 10 | -3 | 12 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 68.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 10.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.09%) and 3-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Sporting Cristal win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Flamengo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Flamengo.
| Result | ||
| Flamengo | Draw | Sporting Cristal |
68.38% ( -0.02) | 20.88% ( 0) | 10.73% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 37.17% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.24% ( 0.02) | 55.75% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.11% ( 0.02) | 76.89% ( -0.02) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.55% ( 0.01) | 15.45% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.69% ( 0.01) | 44.3% ( -0) |
| Sporting Cristal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.96% ( 0.04) | 56.04% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 11.51% ( 0.03) | 88.49% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Flamengo | Draw | Sporting Cristal |
| 1-0 @ 16.16% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 15.09% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 9.4% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.44% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.39% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.54% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.64% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.58% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.44% Total : 68.37% | 1-1 @ 9.36% ( 0) 0-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 2.53% ( 0)Other @ 0.33% Total : 20.88% | 0-1 @ 5.01% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.45% ( 0)Other @ 1.56% Total : 10.73% |
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