Although top spot is already assured, we think that Flamengo will have too much quality for Sporting Cristal on Tuesday, and three points on Tuesday would provide the Brazilian side with a third consecutive victory in all competitions.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 68.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 10.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.09%) and 3-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Sporting Cristal win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Flamengo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Flamengo.
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