Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 49.54%. A win for Ceara had a probability of 25.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (8.99%). The likeliest Ceara win was 1-0 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
