Flamengo have so far enjoyed an unbeaten campaign and will be looking to secure their place in the knockout stages. Universidad Catolica, meanwhile, have struggled to grind out results, managing just one win from their four games. We predict the Brazilian outfit will come away with all three points and heap more misery on the floundering visitors.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 61.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 15.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.75%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Universidad Catolica win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
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