SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Goias | 10 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 | Flamengo | 10 | 0 | 12 |
| 15 | Botafogo | 10 | -3 | 12 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 61.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 15.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.75%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Universidad Catolica win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Flamengo | Draw | Universidad Catolica |
61.83% ( 0) | 22.94% ( -0) | 15.23% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 43.13% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.47% ( 0.03) | 54.53% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.12% ( 0.02) | 75.88% ( -0.02) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.76% ( 0.01) | 17.24% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.46% ( 0.02) | 47.54% ( -0.02) |
| Universidad Catolica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.11% ( 0.02) | 47.89% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.85% ( 0.02) | 83.15% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Flamengo | Draw | Universidad Catolica |
| 1-0 @ 14.51% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 12.75% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.48% 3-1 @ 5.5% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.29% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.42% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.3% Total : 61.82% | 1-1 @ 10.68% 0-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.46% ( 0)Other @ 0.54% Total : 22.93% | 0-1 @ 6.08% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.93% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.24% 1-3 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.02% Total : 15.23% |
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