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Brasileiro | Gameweek 14
Aug 1, 2021 at 8pm UK
Mineirão
AP

Atletico Mineiro
2 - 0
Athletico PR

Vargas (60' pen.), Fialho de Carvalho Neto (69')
Mariano (45'), Fialho de Carvalho Neto (67'), Vargas (86')
Vargas (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Heleno (59'), Christian (80'), Erick (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 57.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 18.26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.63%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawAthletico Paranaense
57.35%24.4%18.26%
Both teams to score 44.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.58%55.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.38%76.62%
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.79%19.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.1%50.9%
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.51%44.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.48%80.52%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 57.34%
    Athletico Paranaense 18.26%
    Draw 24.39%
Atletico MineiroDrawAthletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 14.1%
2-0 @ 11.63%
2-1 @ 9.42%
3-0 @ 6.4%
3-1 @ 5.18%
4-0 @ 2.64%
4-1 @ 2.14%
3-2 @ 2.1%
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 57.34%
1-1 @ 11.41%
0-0 @ 8.55%
2-2 @ 3.81%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 24.39%
0-1 @ 6.92%
1-2 @ 4.62%
0-2 @ 2.8%
1-3 @ 1.25%
2-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 18.26%

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