Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 57.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 18.26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.63%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
