We expect Juventude to be up for it right from the first whistle as they seek to preserve their top-flight status against a Corinthians side who have little to play for. Nonetheless, we expect an open and end-to-end affair with the hosts narrowly edging out their visitors.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventude win with a probability of 41.59%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 28.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventude win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.43%) and 2-1 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.3%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventude in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Juventude.
