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Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16
Nov 24, 2020 at 10.15pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova

Bahia
1 - 0
Santa Fe

Gilberto (77' pen.)
Ronaldo (23'), Gregore (52'), Ramon (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Carabajal (24'), Ignacio Nardoni (71'), Troyansky (90+2')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Round of 16 clash between Bahia and Santa Fe.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 48.41%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Santa Fe had a probability of 25.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.25%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Santa Fe win it was 0-1 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bahia in this match.

Result
BahiaDrawSanta Fe
48.41%26.24%25.34%
Both teams to score 48.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.73%55.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.51%76.49%
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.14%22.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.41%56.6%
Santa Fe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.83%37.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.04%73.96%
Score Analysis
    Bahia 48.42%
    Santa Fe 25.34%
    Draw 26.24%
BahiaDrawSanta Fe
1-0 @ 12.54%
2-0 @ 9.25%
2-1 @ 9.16%
3-0 @ 4.55%
3-1 @ 4.51%
3-2 @ 2.23%
4-0 @ 1.68%
4-1 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 48.42%
1-1 @ 12.41%
0-0 @ 8.5%
2-2 @ 4.53%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.24%
0-1 @ 8.41%
1-2 @ 6.14%
0-2 @ 4.16%
1-3 @ 2.03%
2-3 @ 1.5%
0-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 25.34%


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