Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 48.41%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Santa Fe had a probability of 25.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.25%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Santa Fe win it was 0-1 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bahia in this match.