Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 56.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 19.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.