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P
Brasileiro | Gameweek 28
Oct 26, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Palestra Italia

Palmeiras
2 - 1
Sport

Adriano (53'), Melo (81')
Gomez (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Barcia (4')
Marcao (36'), Sabino (43'), Welison (74')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 63.12%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Sport Recife had a probability of 14.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.95%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Sport Recife win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
PalmeirasDrawSport Recife
63.12%22.35%14.52%
Both teams to score 43.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.4%53.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.89%75.1%
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.53%16.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.84%46.16%
Sport Recife Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.64%48.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.5%83.49%
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 63.11%
    Sport Recife 14.52%
    Draw 22.35%
PalmeirasDrawSport Recife
1-0 @ 14.36%
2-0 @ 12.95%
2-1 @ 9.41%
3-0 @ 7.79%
3-1 @ 5.66%
4-0 @ 3.51%
4-1 @ 2.55%
3-2 @ 2.06%
5-0 @ 1.27%
4-2 @ 0.93%
5-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 63.11%
1-1 @ 10.43%
0-0 @ 7.96%
2-2 @ 3.42%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 22.35%
0-1 @ 5.78%
1-2 @ 3.79%
0-2 @ 2.1%
1-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 14.52%

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