Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sport Recife win with a probability of 40.19%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 29.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sport Recife win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.18%) and 2-1 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.39%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sport Recife would win this match.