Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 60.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Sport Recife had a probability of 14.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.4%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Sport Recife win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
