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Brasileiro | Gameweek 1
Apr 14, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Manoel Barradas
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Vitoria
0 - 1
Palmeiras


Alerrandro (15'), Esteves (45+1'), Camutanga (53')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rios (20')
Rios (17'), Endrick (45+1'), Menino (57'), Mayke (85'), Manuel Lopez (90+3')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Vitoria and Palmeiras.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vitoria 3-4 Ceara
Thursday, August 27 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Palmeiras 3-1 Liverpool
Friday, April 12 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for Vitoria had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Vitoria win was 1-0 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Palmeiras in this match.

Result
VitoriaDrawPalmeiras
35.26% (0.127 0.13) 27.56% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08) 37.18% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Both teams to score 49.1% (0.248 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.38% (0.30399999999999 0.3)56.62% (-0.30399999999999 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.41% (0.245 0.25)77.59% (-0.244 -0.24)
Vitoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.48% (0.23299999999999 0.23)30.52% (-0.233 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.26% (0.277 0.28)66.74% (-0.277 -0.28)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.67% (0.119 0.12)29.33% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.69% (0.147 0.15)65.31% (-0.14699999999999 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria 35.25%
    Palmeiras 37.17%
    Draw 27.56%
VitoriaDrawPalmeiras
1-0 @ 10.62% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 7.73% (0.034 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.3% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.06% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.49% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.88% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 0.91% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 35.25%
1-1 @ 13.03% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.95% (-0.105 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.74% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.56%
0-1 @ 10.97% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 7.99% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.73% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.27% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.75% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 1% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 37.17%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Vitoria 3-4 Ceara
Thursday, August 27 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Ceara 1-0 Vitoria
Thursday, March 12 at 10.15pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Vitoria 3-1 Lagarto
Thursday, March 5 at 10.15pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Imperatriz 0-0 Vitoria
Wednesday, February 12 at 12.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Palmeiras 3-2 Vitoria
Sunday, December 2 at 7pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vitoria 0-0 Gremio
Sunday, November 25 at 7pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 3-1 Liverpool
Friday, April 12 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: San Lorenzo 1-1 Palmeiras
Thursday, April 4 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Cruzeiro 1-1 Palmeiras
Thursday, December 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 1-0 Fluminense
Sunday, December 3 at 7pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 4-0 America Mineiro
Thursday, November 30 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 2-2 Palmeiras
Sunday, November 26 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro


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