Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for Vitoria had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Vitoria win was 1-0 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Palmeiras in this match.

Result
Vitoria	Draw	Palmeiras
35.26% ( 0.13)	27.56% ( -0.08)	37.18% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 49.1% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.38% (

0.3)

56.62% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.41% (

0.25)

77.59% (

-0.24)

Vitoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.48% (

0.23)

30.52% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.26% (

0.28)

66.74% (

-0.28)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.67% (

0.12)

29.33% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.69% (

0.15)

65.31% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Vitoria 35.25%

Palmeiras 37.17%

Draw 27.56%

Vitoria	Draw	Palmeiras
1-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.26% Total : 35.25%	1-1 @ 13.03% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.56%	0-1 @ 10.97% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.99% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 37.17%