Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 44.86%. A win for Ceara had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Ceara win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.
