Santos will be in a confident mood after a three-match unbeaten run, but Cuiaba have proved to be a tough nut to crack having drawn 10 games away from home this season, and we think that they will claim another point on Thursday to keep them in the top flight.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 59.34%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 16.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.52%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
