Athletico PR
4 - 2
Gremio

Rocha (31', 45+1'), Kayzer (55', 61')
Ivaldo (67')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Thiago (59'), Vanderson (84')
Ruan (65'), Borja (66'), Costa (90+1'), Rafinha (90+3'), Sarara (90+4')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Gremio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 47.25%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 23.95%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Gremio
47.25%	28.8%	23.95%

Both teams to score 40.67%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.35%

64.65%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.35%

83.65%

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.35%

27.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.8%

63.2%

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.22%

43.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.06%

79.95%

Score Analysis

Athletico Paranaense 47.24%

Gremio 23.95%

Draw 28.79%

Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Gremio
1-0 @ 15.56% 2-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 8.26% 3-0 @ 4.29% 3-1 @ 3.54% 3-2 @ 1.46% 4-0 @ 1.38% 4-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.62% Total : 47.24%	1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 12.1% 2-2 @ 3.41% Other @ 0.43% Total : 28.79%	0-1 @ 10% 1-2 @ 5.31% 0-2 @ 4.13% 1-3 @ 1.46% 0-3 @ 1.14% 2-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.98% Total : 23.95%