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Brasileiro | Gameweek 17
Aug 23, 2021 at 12.30am UK
 
SP

Sport
0 - 1
Sao Paulo


Andre (73'), Moccelin (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pablo (5')
Liziero (43'), Pele (85')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Sport Recife had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Sport Recife win was 1-0 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sao Paulo in this match.

Result
Sport RecifeDrawSao Paulo
31.23%28.05%40.73%
Both teams to score 46.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.95%59.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.49%79.52%
Sport Recife Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.48%34.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.76%71.24%
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.55%28.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.79%64.21%
Score Analysis
    Sport Recife 31.22%
    Sao Paulo 40.72%
    Draw 28.05%
Sport RecifeDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 10.44%
2-1 @ 6.98%
2-0 @ 5.56%
3-1 @ 2.48%
3-0 @ 1.97%
3-2 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 31.22%
1-1 @ 13.13%
0-0 @ 9.82%
2-2 @ 4.39%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.05%
0-1 @ 12.34%
1-2 @ 8.25%
0-2 @ 7.76%
1-3 @ 3.46%
0-3 @ 3.25%
2-3 @ 1.84%
1-4 @ 1.09%
0-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 40.72%

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