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Brasileiro | Gameweek 23
Nov 28, 2020 at 8pm UK
Vila Belmiro, Santos

Santos
4 - 2
Sport

Marinho (7' pen.), Braga (11'), Bruninho (71'), Soteldo (82' pen.)
Lourenco (20'), Jobson (26'), Verissimo (43')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Marquinhos (28'), Barcia (45')
Adryelson (14'), Marquinhos (21'), Mugni (41')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Santos and Sport Recife.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 49.83%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Sport Recife had a probability of 23.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Sport Recife win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos would win this match.

Result
SantosDrawSport Recife
49.83%26.73%23.44%
Both teams to score 45.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.6%58.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.99%79.01%
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.44%23.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.38%57.62%
Sport Recife Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.34%40.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.75%77.26%
Score Analysis
    Santos 49.83%
    Sport Recife 23.44%
    Draw 26.73%
SantosDrawSport Recife
1-0 @ 13.85%
2-0 @ 10.01%
2-1 @ 9.01%
3-0 @ 4.82%
3-1 @ 4.34%
3-2 @ 1.95%
4-0 @ 1.74%
4-1 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 49.83%
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 9.58%
2-2 @ 4.05%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 8.62%
1-2 @ 5.61%
0-2 @ 3.88%
1-3 @ 1.68%
2-3 @ 1.22%
0-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 23.44%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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