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SP
Brasileiro | Gameweek 24
Dec 6, 2020 at 7pm UK
Estadio do Morumbi

Sao Paulo
1 - 0
Sport

Luciano (14')
Juanfran (53'), Luan (64'), Alves (90'), Arboleda (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ricardinho (34'), Sander (35'), Maidana (43'), Thyere (75')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Sport Recife.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 63.09%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Sport Recife had a probability of 14.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.58%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Sport Recife win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sao Paulo in this match.

Result
Sao PauloDrawSport Recife
63.09%22.05%14.86%
Both teams to score 44.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.15%51.85%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.39%73.61%
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.12%15.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.91%45.09%
Sport Recife Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.19%46.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.66%82.34%
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 63.08%
    Sport Recife 14.86%
    Draw 22.05%
Sao PauloDrawSport Recife
1-0 @ 13.67%
2-0 @ 12.58%
2-1 @ 9.55%
3-0 @ 7.72%
3-1 @ 5.86%
4-0 @ 3.55%
4-1 @ 2.7%
3-2 @ 2.23%
5-0 @ 1.31%
4-2 @ 1.02%
5-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 63.08%
1-1 @ 10.38%
0-0 @ 7.43%
2-2 @ 3.63%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 22.05%
0-1 @ 5.64%
1-2 @ 3.94%
0-2 @ 2.14%
1-3 @ 1%
2-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 14.86%

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