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Brasileiro | Gameweek 21
Sep 18, 2021 at 11pm UK
Mineirão

Atletico Mineiro
3 - 0
Sport

Costa (35'), Hulk (45+1'), Vargas (90+9' pen.)
Rodrigues de Souza (15'), Tche (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Trellez (12'), Moccelin (32'), Thyere (90+8')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 70.64%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Sport Recife had a probability of 10.32%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.05%) and 3-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Sport Recife win it was 0-1 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawSport Recife
70.64%19.04%10.32%
Both teams to score 40.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.12%49.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.12%71.88%
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.1%12.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.68%39.32%
Sport Recife Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.79%53.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.22%86.78%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 70.63%
    Sport Recife 10.32%
    Draw 19.04%
Atletico MineiroDrawSport Recife
2-0 @ 14.39%
1-0 @ 14.05%
3-0 @ 9.83%
2-1 @ 9.08%
3-1 @ 6.2%
4-0 @ 5.03%
4-1 @ 3.18%
5-0 @ 2.06%
3-2 @ 1.96%
5-1 @ 1.3%
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 70.63%
1-1 @ 8.87%
0-0 @ 6.86%
2-2 @ 2.87%
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 19.04%
0-1 @ 4.33%
1-2 @ 2.8%
0-2 @ 1.37%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 10.32%

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