Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 47.04%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Sport Recife had a probability of 23.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for a Sport Recife win it was 1-0 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 16% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Internacional in this match.