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Brasileiro | Gameweek 10
Jun 11, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Jose Pinheiro Borda
VD

Internacional
2 - 1
Vasco

Zwarg (3'), Wanderson (16')
Dias (75'), Moledo (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Rayan (29')
Piton (15'), Jair (47'), Bambu (62')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nacional 1-1 Internacional
Wednesday, June 7 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Vasco 1-4 Flamengo
Tuesday, June 6 at 12am in Brasileiro

We said: Internacional 3-1 Vasco da Gama

Given that Vasco da Gama have failed to win since the opening weekend of the Brasileirao season, we expect the visitors to suffer a fifth successive loss on Sunday, with Internacional inflicting another heavy defeat on the basement dwellers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 60.74%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 16.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.87%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.

Result
InternacionalDrawVasco da Gama
60.74% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09) 22.72% (0.052999999999997 0.05) 16.54% (0.043000000000003 0.04)
Both teams to score 46.4% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.39% (-0.142 -0.14)51.62% (0.145 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.6% (-0.123 -0.12)73.4% (0.126 0.13)
Internacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.41% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)16.59% (0.084 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.62% (-0.148 -0.15)46.38% (0.151 0.15)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.62% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)44.38% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.57% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02)80.43% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Internacional 60.73%
    Vasco da Gama 16.54%
    Draw 22.72%
InternacionalDrawVasco da Gama
1-0 @ 13.22% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 11.87%
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.11% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.78% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.2% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.6% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.15% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.0079999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 60.73%
1-1 @ 10.74% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.36% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.92% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 22.72%
0-1 @ 5.98% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.36% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.18%
2-3 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 16.54%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Nacional 1-1 Internacional
Wednesday, June 7 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Santos 1-1 Internacional
Sunday, June 4 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 3-1 America Mineiro (4-5 pen.)
Thursday, June 1 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Internacional 2-0 Bahia
Sunday, May 28 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Metropolitanos 1-2 Internacional
Friday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Gremio 3-1 Internacional
Sunday, May 21 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 1-4 Flamengo
Tuesday, June 6 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 2-0 Vasco
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 4-2 Vasco
Saturday, May 20 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 0-1 Santos
Sunday, May 14 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Coritiba 1-1 Vasco
Thursday, May 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 1-1 Vasco
Sunday, May 7 at 1am in Brasileiro


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