Given the rivalry that these two have built up, this match should be full of intensity and drama, knowing what this means to both fan bases.
We expect Vasco to have an early edge seeing as Flamengo have only had a few days to rest in between games, but Urubu are rarely phased when incurring a setback, and they should be able to take control of this encounter and eventually find those openings.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
0.95) 
-1.1) 
