Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
0.01) 
-0.01) 
