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Brasileiro | Gameweek 2
Apr 18, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
SP

Flamengo
2 - 1
Sao Paulo

Araujo (20'), de la Cruz (54')
Bruno (26')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ferreira (79')
Vinicius (3'), Araujo (40'), Luciano (88')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Flamengo and Sao Paulo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 54.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 20.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
FlamengoDrawSao Paulo
54.05% (1.059 1.06) 25.46% (-0.257 -0.26) 20.49% (-0.804 -0.8)
Both teams to score 45.32% (-0.347 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.39% (0.102 0.1)56.61% (-0.10400000000001 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.41% (0.084000000000003 0.08)77.58% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.01% (0.48099999999999 0.48)20.98% (-0.484 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.25% (0.748 0.75)53.75% (-0.75 -0.75)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.36% (-0.795 -0.8)42.64% (0.794 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.01% (-0.685 -0.68)78.99% (0.684 0.68)
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 54.04%
    Sao Paulo 20.49%
    Draw 25.45%
FlamengoDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 13.97% (0.15 0.15)
2-0 @ 10.9% (0.27 0.27)
2-1 @ 9.3% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.68% (0.223 0.22)
3-1 @ 4.84% (0.088 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.22% (0.118 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.89% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 54.04%
1-1 @ 11.9% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 8.95% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.96% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 7.63% (-0.199 -0.2)
1-2 @ 5.08% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-2 @ 3.25% (-0.159 -0.16)
1-3 @ 1.44% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.13% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-3 @ 0.92% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 20.49%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Atletico GO 1-2 Flamengo
Sunday, April 14 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 2-0 Palestino
Thursday, April 11 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Millonarios 1-1 Flamengo
Tuesday, April 2 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-0 Flamengo
Thursday, December 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Cuiaba
Sunday, December 3 at 7pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 0-3 Atletico Mineiro
Wednesday, November 29 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-2 Fortaleza
Sunday, April 14 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-0 Cobresal
Thursday, April 11 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Talleres 2-1 Sao Paulo
Friday, April 5 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-0 Flamengo
Thursday, December 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-1 Sao Paulo
Sunday, December 3 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 0-1 Sao Paulo
Wednesday, November 29 at 11pm in Brasileiro


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