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Brasileiro | Gameweek 37
Dec 3, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Raimundo Sampaio
SP

Atletico Mineiro
2 - 1
Sao Paulo

Hulk (77'), Paulinho (90+4')
Arana (65'), Hulk (78'), Mendes (89'), Paulinho (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Luciano (90+1' pen.)
Araujo (46')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Atletico Mineiro and Sao Paulo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Flamengo 0-3 Atletico Mineiro
Wednesday, November 29 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 0-1 Sao Paulo
Wednesday, November 29 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 51.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 22.37%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawSao Paulo
51.73% (-0.871 -0.87) 25.9% (0.365 0.36) 22.37% (0.507 0.51)
Both teams to score 46.44% (-0.404 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.62% (-0.843 -0.84)56.38% (0.842 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.6% (-0.684 -0.68)77.4% (0.68300000000001 0.68)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.14% (-0.715 -0.72)21.86% (0.714 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.9% (-1.096 -1.1)55.1% (1.095 1.1)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.44% (0.029000000000003 0.03)40.56% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.84% (0.026 0.03)77.16% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 51.73%
    Sao Paulo 22.37%
    Draw 25.89%
Atletico MineiroDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 13.48% (0.15 0.15)
2-0 @ 10.25% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-0 @ 5.2% (-0.17 -0.17)
3-1 @ 4.69% (-0.15 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.98% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.78% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 3%
Total : 51.73%
1-1 @ 12.16% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 8.87% (0.283 0.28)
2-2 @ 4.17% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 8% (0.262 0.26)
1-2 @ 5.49% (0.067 0.07)
0-2 @ 3.61% (0.121 0.12)
1-3 @ 1.65% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 22.37%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Flamengo 0-3 Atletico Mineiro
Wednesday, November 29 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 3-0 Gremio
Sunday, November 26 at 7pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-1 Goias
Sunday, November 12 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 1-1 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, November 9 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: America Mineiro 1-1 Atletico Mineiro
Saturday, November 4 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 3-1 Fortaleza
Thursday, November 2 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 0-1 Sao Paulo
Wednesday, November 29 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-0 Cuiaba
Sunday, November 26 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 1-0 Sao Paulo
Thursday, November 23 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Santos 0-0 Sao Paulo
Sunday, November 12 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-0 Bragantino
Wednesday, November 8 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-0 Cruzeiro
Thursday, November 2 at 11pm in Brasileiro


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