SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 53.98%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 24.75% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.09%) and 1-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hamburger SV | Draw | Stuttgart |
53.98% ( -0.19) | 21.27% ( 0.22) | 24.75% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 64.33% ( -0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.9% ( -1.12) | 34.1% ( 1.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.02% ( -1.28) | 55.98% ( 1.28) |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.18% ( -0.43) | 12.82% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.85% ( -0.89) | 39.15% ( 0.89) |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.79% ( -0.63) | 26.21% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.69% ( -0.85) | 61.31% ( 0.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamburger SV | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.18)1-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.29)3-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1% ( -0.06)5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.4% Total : 53.98% | 1-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.37% Total : 21.27% | 1-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.24% Total : 24.75% |
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