A closely-fought contest between two giants of German football, who are both three-time Bundesliga winners, is set to take place on Thursday, although Stuttgart will be regarded as slight favourites.
As the two teams look to quickly brush aside the disappointment of failing to meet their desired targets last weekend, we believe that the hosts will come out on top to gain a first-leg advantage.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.21%) and 0-2 (5.26%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.
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