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DFB-Pokal | Semi-Finals
May 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
EF

Stuttgart
2 - 3
Frankfurt

Tomas (19'), Millot (83')
Guirassy (9'), Tomas (20'), Bredlow (75'), Sosa (80'), Ito (80')
Sosa (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
N'Dicka (51'), Kamada (55'), Kolo (77' pen.)
Gotze (4'), Sow (5'), Buta (90+2'), Lenz (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Stuttgart 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt

Much will hinge on whether Guirassy and Kolo Muani - who are comfortably these two sides' most dangerous attackers - are able to start in this huge semi-final clash, but Frankfurt are clearly lacking momentum after enduring a winless run of nine league matches in recent times. Glasner's side are suffering with several injuries to key defenders, too, and we can envisage Stuttgart using their strong form under Hoeness and a boisterous Mercedes-Benz Arena in their favour to reach their first final in 10 years. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
StuttgartDrawEintracht Frankfurt
48.58% (0.742 0.74) 23.38% (-0.171 -0.17) 28.03% (-0.576 -0.58)
Both teams to score 59.86% (0.156 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.65% (0.40000000000001 0.4)41.35% (-0.40300000000001 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.25% (0.404 0.4)63.75% (-0.40799999999999 -0.41)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.77% (0.435 0.44)17.22% (-0.439 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.48% (0.764 0.76)47.51% (-0.768 -0.77)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.32% (-0.19500000000001 -0.2)27.68% (0.191 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.77% (-0.249 -0.25)63.23% (0.245 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 48.58%
    Eintracht Frankfurt 28.03%
    Draw 23.38%
StuttgartDrawEintracht Frankfurt
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
1-0 @ 8.38% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.37% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.55% (0.108 0.11)
3-0 @ 4.32% (0.107 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.57% (0.05 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.44% (0.081 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.9% (0.073 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.57% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 4%
Total : 48.58%
1-1 @ 10.77% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.08% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.77% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.53% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.38%
1-2 @ 6.92% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-1 @ 6.12% (-0.146 -0.15)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.116 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.96% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.61% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.68% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 28.03%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Stuttgart 2-1 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, April 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 1-1 Stuttgart
Friday, April 21 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 3-3 Dortmund
Saturday, April 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 2-3 Stuttgart
Sunday, April 9 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Nuremberg 0-1 Stuttgart
Wednesday, April 5 at 5.30pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Union Berlin 3-0 Stuttgart
Saturday, April 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-1 Augsburg
Saturday, April 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 4-0 Frankfurt
Saturday, April 22 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-1 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, April 15 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 3-1 Frankfurt
Saturday, April 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 2-0 Union Berlin
Tuesday, April 4 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-1 VfL Bochum
Friday, March 31 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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