Arminia Bielefeld
1 - 3
Dortmund

Klos (87' pen.)
Kunze (83')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Can (31' pen.), Hummels (45'), Bellingham (72')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Arminia Bielefeld and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 67.7%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 13.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.11%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 1-0 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Arminia Bielefeld	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
13.55%	18.75%	67.7%

Both teams to score 51.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.53%

40.47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.14%

62.85%

Arminia Bielefeld Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.33%

41.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.85%

78.15%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.01%

10.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.74%

35.25%

Score Analysis

Arminia Bielefeld 13.55%

Borussia Dortmund 67.69%

Draw 18.75%

Arminia Bielefeld	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
1-0 @ 4.01% 2-1 @ 3.87% 2-0 @ 1.75% 3-2 @ 1.25% 3-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.54% Total : 13.55%	1-1 @ 8.85% 0-0 @ 4.58% 2-2 @ 4.28% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.75%	0-2 @ 11.16% 0-1 @ 10.11% 1-2 @ 9.78% 0-3 @ 8.22% 1-3 @ 7.2% 0-4 @ 4.54% 1-4 @ 3.97% 2-3 @ 3.15% 0-5 @ 2% 1-5 @ 1.76% 2-4 @ 1.74% Other @ 4.07% Total : 67.69%