SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 67.7%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 13.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.11%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 1-0 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arminia Bielefeld | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 13.55% | 18.75% | 67.7% |
| Both teams to score 51.92% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.53% | 40.47% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.14% | 62.85% |
| Arminia Bielefeld Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.33% | 41.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.85% | 78.15% |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.01% | 10.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 64.74% | 35.25% |
| Score Analysis |
| Arminia Bielefeld | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 1-0 @ 4.01% 2-1 @ 3.87% 2-0 @ 1.75% 3-2 @ 1.25% 3-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.54% Total : 13.55% | 1-1 @ 8.85% 0-0 @ 4.58% 2-2 @ 4.28% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.75% | 0-2 @ 11.16% 0-1 @ 10.11% 1-2 @ 9.78% 0-3 @ 8.22% 1-3 @ 7.2% 0-4 @ 4.54% 1-4 @ 3.97% 2-3 @ 3.15% 0-5 @ 2% 1-5 @ 1.76% 2-4 @ 1.74% Other @ 4.07% Total : 67.69% |
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