Ajax
4 - 0
Dortmund

Reus (11' og.), Blind (25'), Antony (57'), Haller (72')
Alvarez (33'), Maduro (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Witsel (42')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Ajax and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 53.81%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 18%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 6.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.01%) and 3-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (4.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Ajax	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
53.81%	18.04%	28.16%

Both teams to score 80.6%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

84.82%

15.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

69.1%

30.9%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.39%

6.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.43%

24.57%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.31%

13.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.08%

40.92%

Score Analysis

Ajax 53.81%

Borussia Dortmund 28.16%

Draw 18.04%

Ajax	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 6.64% 3-1 @ 6.01% 3-2 @ 5.98% 4-1 @ 4.08% 4-2 @ 4.06% 2-0 @ 3.34% 3-0 @ 3.03% 4-3 @ 2.69% 1-0 @ 2.46% 5-1 @ 2.22% 5-2 @ 2.21% 4-0 @ 2.05% 5-3 @ 1.46% 5-0 @ 1.12% 6-1 @ 1.01% 6-2 @ 1% Other @ 4.45% Total : 53.81%	2-2 @ 6.6% 1-1 @ 4.89% 3-3 @ 3.96% 4-4 @ 1.34% 0-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.34% Total : 18.04%	1-2 @ 4.86% 2-3 @ 4.38% 1-3 @ 3.22% 2-4 @ 2.18% 3-4 @ 1.97% 0-1 @ 1.8% 0-2 @ 1.79% 1-4 @ 1.6% 0-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 5.18% Total : 28.16%