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ML
Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Jan 19, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Coface Arena
W

Mainz 05
0 - 2
Wolfsburg


Boetius (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bialek (65'), Weghorst (79')
Philipp (53'), Guilavogui (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 50.35%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 25.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.61%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawWolfsburg
25.84%23.81%50.35%
Both teams to score 56.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.05%44.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.7%67.3%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.81%31.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.48%67.52%
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.09%17.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.28%48.71%
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 25.84%
    Wolfsburg 50.35%
    Draw 23.8%
Mainz 05DrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 6.52%
1-0 @ 6.51%
2-0 @ 3.79%
3-1 @ 2.53%
3-2 @ 2.18%
3-0 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 25.84%
1-1 @ 11.19%
2-2 @ 5.61%
0-0 @ 5.59%
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.8%
1-2 @ 9.63%
0-1 @ 9.61%
0-2 @ 8.26%
1-3 @ 5.52%
0-3 @ 4.73%
2-3 @ 3.22%
1-4 @ 2.37%
0-4 @ 2.04%
2-4 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 50.35%

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