Augsburg
3 - 1
Mainz 05

Vargas (40'), Hahn (80', 90+1')
Vargas (49'), Strobl (58'), Iago (66'), Sarenren-Bazee (85'), Hahn (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Onisiwo (64')
St Juste (84')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Augsburg	Draw	Mainz 05
30.52%	24.64%	44.84%

Both teams to score 57.17%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.36%

45.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.04%

67.96%

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.85%

28.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.17%

63.83%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.56%

20.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.11%

52.9%

Score Analysis

Augsburg 30.52%

Mainz 05 44.84%

Draw 24.64%

Augsburg	Draw	Mainz 05
2-1 @ 7.34% 1-0 @ 7.3% 2-0 @ 4.62% 3-1 @ 3.1% 3-2 @ 2.46% 3-0 @ 1.95% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.76% Total : 30.52%	1-1 @ 11.58% 2-2 @ 5.83% 0-0 @ 5.75% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.64%	1-2 @ 9.19% 0-1 @ 9.14% 0-2 @ 7.25% 1-3 @ 4.86% 0-3 @ 3.84% 2-3 @ 3.08% 1-4 @ 1.93% 0-4 @ 1.52% 2-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.8% Total : 44.84%